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WC2018 – Croatia vs Nigeria Prediction

Posted by Website Admin on June 14, 2018

The 2018 FIFA World Cup continues Saturday as Group D takes center stage with Croatia and Nigeria matching up in what’s expected to be one of the more competitive matchups of the first weekend.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Croatia: 1.71
• Draw: 3.70
• Nigeria: 5.66
Spread
• Croatia -0.5: 1.94
• Nigeria +0.5: 1.99
Total
• OVER 2: 1.75
• UNDER 2: 2.17

What to Watch For

Youth: Nigeria is a team on the rise with a roster filled with young talent — including Alex Iwobi and Kelechi Iheanacho. Keep an eye on their ever-so-reliable counter attack to make an impact in this match.

Nigeria’s Secret Weapon: Fans should keep an eye on Wilfred Ndidi. Premier league fans may be familiar with his time at Leicester City, but at just 20 years of age, he’s got a chance to make an impact on the global level.

Struggles on National Stage: Croatia, despite its talent, has been largely inconsistent historically. They have never advanced to the knockout stage of the World Cup in 20 years.

Last Hurrah: More likely than not, this will be midfielder Luka Modric’s last World Cup appearance, entering the tournament at 32 years old. He’ll lead a midfield of Mateo Kovacic, Ivan Rakitic and Marcelo Brozovic.

Projected Leaders

Simeon Nwankwo and Alex Iwobi are projected to lead the way for Nigeria in their opening match. They each have approximately a 10-to-11 percent chance of netting the ball, with both of them — along with Joel Chukwuma Obi — averaging 0.11 goals per simulated match.

For Croatia, Andrej Kramaric and Ivan Perisic are projected to lead the way. Kramaric has a 28 percent chance of scoring as he averages over 2 shots overall per sim, 1.06 shots on goal per, and 0.33 goals per sim. Perisic averages more shots overall than Karamaric with 3-plus per sim, but he has fewer shots on goal per sim (0.27 vs 0.33).

Analyst’s Pick

The Draw.

Odds — at 3.70 — indicate there’s a 27 percent chance of a draw. AccuScore sims, however, have a draw in 33 percent of matches, suggesting some added value on the draw.

The average score in sims is 1.11 – 0.55, in favor of Croatia.