The 2018 FIFA World Cup continues Wednesday as Cristiano Ronaldo and Portugal take the pitch against Morocco. One side heads into the match following a satisfying and motivating performance, the other after a frustrating loss.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 4.05 — indicate there’s a 24.7 percent chance of a draw. AccuScore sims have a draw in 17 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 2.36 – 0.63, in favor of Portugal.
Hat Trick: Portugal enters this matchup after a thrilling 3-3 result vs Spain in which Ronaldo finished with a hat trick. It was Portugal’s third draw in their last four games, entering this match with just one loss in their last 14 overall.
Bounce Back: Hakim Ziyech had a sub-par performance vs Iran, so watch for him to bounce back in this match. He’ll get help from midfielders Younes Belhanda and Mbark Boussoufa.
Key Betting Trend: Portugal have kept the clean sheet in five out of their previous ten tilts
Betting on the Total: Morocco will be extra aggressive after a loss vs Iran; we’re expecting both sides to score in this match. The total hits the OVER in close to 57 percent of AccuScore sims.
Surprise, suprise — Ronaldo is projected to lead the way for Portugal. He has close to a 69 percent chance of scoring as he averages 7-plus shots overall, 3-plus shots on goal, and 1-plus goals per sim.
For Morocco, it’s Hakim Ziyech. He has a 13 percent chance to score as he averages close to two shots overall per sim, 0.48 shots on goal per and 0.14 goals per sim.
Portugal to win.
The odds — at 1.59 — indicate Portugal has a 63 percent chance of winning. They win 75 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting added value on the pick. Morocco will without a doubt play tough for 90 minutes, so Portugal covering the spread might be too risky of a pick.
Prediction provided by: Accuscore