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WC 2018 – Morocco vs Portugal Prediction

Posted by Website Admin on June 22, 2018

The 2018 FIFA World Cup continues Wednesday as Cristiano Ronaldo and Portugal take the pitch against Morocco. One side heads into the match following a satisfying and motivating performance, the other after a frustrating loss.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Portugal: 1.59
• Draw: 4.05
• Morocco: 6.56
Spread
• Portugal -1: 2.04
• Morocco +1: 1.89
Total
• OVER 2: 1.61
• UNDER 2: 2.40

What to Watch For

Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 4.05 — indicate there’s a 24.7 percent chance of a draw. AccuScore sims have a draw in 17 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.

The average score in sims is 2.36 – 0.63, in favor of Portugal.

Hat Trick: Portugal enters this matchup after a thrilling 3-3 result vs Spain in which Ronaldo finished with a hat trick. It was Portugal’s third draw in their last four games, entering this match with just one loss in their last 14 overall.

Bounce Back: Hakim Ziyech had a sub-par performance vs Iran, so watch for him to bounce back in this match. He’ll get help from midfielders Younes Belhanda and Mbark Boussoufa.

Key Betting Trend: Portugal have kept the clean sheet in five out of their previous ten tilts

Betting on the Total: Morocco will be extra aggressive after a loss vs Iran; we’re expecting both sides to score in this match. The total hits the OVER in close to 57 percent of AccuScore sims.

Projected Leaders

Surprise, suprise — Ronaldo is projected to lead the way for Portugal. He has close to a 69 percent chance of scoring as he averages 7-plus shots overall, 3-plus shots on goal, and 1-plus goals per sim.

For Morocco, it’s Hakim Ziyech. He has a 13 percent chance to score as he averages close to two shots overall per sim, 0.48 shots on goal per and 0.14 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Portugal to win.

The odds — at 1.59 — indicate Portugal has a 63 percent chance of winning. They win 75 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting added value on the pick. Morocco will without a doubt play tough for 90 minutes, so Portugal covering the spread might be too risky of a pick.

Prediction provided by: Accuscore