Manchester City returns home for a matchup with all-so-familiar Chelsea who are currently not in the top four. Chelsea — still missing Ross Barkley — will look for their first road victory in over a month.
What to Watch For
Man City Dominant at Home: Manchester City is on a thirteen match winning streak at home in the Premier League. They have scored at least three goals in each of their last six home contests.
Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 4.25 — indicate about a 23.5 percent chance of happening. Accuscore sims have a draw in about 19.6 percent of matches, suggesting to stay away from the draw pick.
The average score in sims is 2.46 – 1.01, in favor of Man City.
Head-to-Head: Chelsea won 1-0 last time these two sides played.
Eden Hazard has the highest probability of scoring for Chelsea at about 25 percent chance. He averages 1-to-2 shots per sim, and close to one shot on goal.
Not so surprising, Aguero dominates the sims for Man City with over 3 shots per sim, close to 2 on goal, and 0.85 goals per sim; he has close to a 58 percent chance of scoring.
It’s a somewhat pricey pick, but the value is clearly there. At 1.64, the odds indicate about a 54 percent chance of winning. Man City wins over 68 percent of simulated matchups, providing quite a bit of value at 1.64.