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Saturday game preview – West Ham vs Swansea

Posted by Website Admin on March 2, 2018

West Ham — following their 4-1 defeat at Liverpool — continues to battle against the standings as they head into this week’s matchup at Swansea with just three points clear of the relegation zone. Swansea enters the matchup with some momentum following Jordan Ayew’s performance this week.

Dafabet Odds

Spread
• West Ham to win: 3.00
• Draw: 3.25
• Swansea to win: 2.58
Total
• OVER 2.25: 1.73
• UNDER 2.25: 2.20

What to Watch For

Ayew Leading the Way: Jordan Ayew came off the bench earlier this week, scoring just ten minutes after entering the match against Sheffield. Swansea ended up winning 2-0, but it was clearly Ayew’s energy that propelled them to the victory. He has scored nine goals in 36 appearances this season.

Side Value on the Draw: Odds — at 3.25 — indicate about a 30 percent chance of happening. Accuscore sims have a draw in about 36 percent of matches, a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.

The average score in sims is 0.78 to 0.69, in favor of Swansea.

Head-to-Head: West Ham has more or less dominated this series in years past, winning 29 of the previous 62 matches, and drawing 15; Swansea has won 18 matches.

Playing with Momentum: Swansea have won their last 3 Premier League home matches.

Predicted Lineups

Swansea: Fabianski, Naughton, Van der Hoorn, Fernandez, Mawson, Olsson, Ayew, Ki, Carroll, CLucas, Ayew

West Ham United: Adrian, Zabaleta, Collins, Ogbonna, Cresswell, Joao Mario, Kouyate, Antonio, Lanzini, Arnautovic, Hernandez

Projected Leaders

For West Ham, Javier Hernandez Balcazar leads the way with about a 24 percent chance of finding the back of the net. In sims, he averages 1.29 shots overall, 0.58 shots on goal, and 0.27 goals per.

Swansea’s Ayew averages 1. shots overall per sim, 0.66 shots on goal, 0.21 goals per sim, with a 19-to-20 percent chance of scoring.

Analyst’s Pick

The UNDER.

Not only is it a four-star AccuScore hot trend pick, but the odds vs sims show some added value. The UNDER, at 2.20, indicates about a 45 percent chance of happening. The total stays UNDER in about 56 percent of sims, indicating value at 2.20.