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Saturday game preview EPL: West Brom vs Bournemouth

Posted by Website Admin on March 16, 2018

West Brom hit the road this week for a match with AFC Bournemouth at Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth currently sit at the No. 12 spot in the Premier League standings, with 33 points from 30 games thus far. West Brom look to be headed towards relegation as they sit 8 points behind the No. 17 spot.

These two sides have played each other five times in the Premier League – with each team winning two and one match ending in a draw.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.

Dafabet Odds

1X2
• AFC Bournemouth to win: 1.87
• Draw: 3.63
• West Bromwich Albion to win: 4.55
Total
• OVER 2.5: 1.99
• UNDER 2.5: 1.91

What to Watch For

Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 3.63 — indicate there’s about a 27.5 percent chance of a draw. Accuscore sims have a draw in about 29 percent of matches, suggesting some — but not much — added value on the draw.

The average score in sims is 1.36 – 0.74, in favor of AFC Bournemouth.

Recent Struggles: No team has scored fewer goals away from home this season than West Brom (7). At the same time, Watford are the only side in the division to have conceded more goals at home than Bournemouth.

Head-to-Head: These teams met on opening day of this season when West Brom took the 1-0 win thanks to Ahmed Hegazi’s header. West Brom has won the last two matches against Bournemouth. This weekend’s fixture will be the first time the two sides have ever met in March.

Projected Leaders

José Salomón Rondón Giménez leads the Albion in sims, with close to two shots overall per sim; he has close to a 20 percent chance of scoring, averaging 0.56 shots on goal per sim and 0.21 goals per sim.

Callum Wilson leads the way for Bournemouth in sims, averaging 0.73 shots on goal per, and 0.42 goals per sim. He has a 34-to-35 percent chance of netting the ball.

Analyst’s Pick

The UNDER.

The odds — at 1.91 — indicate there’s a 52.3 percent chance the total score stays below 2.5. The UNDER hits in in over 66 percent of simulations, indicating a ton of value at those 1.91 odds. The sims would have listed the UNDER at approximately 1.5.

The UNDER is also a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.