Following back-to-back defeats to sides like Burnley and Huddersfield, Watford will look to get their first win in five games when they host Huddersfield Town Saturday in Premier League action.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
What to Watch For
Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 3.33 — indicate there’s about a 30 percent chance of a draw. Accuscore sims, however, have a draw in about 27 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 1.48 – 1.28, in favor of Watford.
Crystal Clear of the Relegation Zone: Wilfried Zaha was beyond legendary last time out to inspire his side to a 3-2 win over their rivals, Brighton. Thanks to his heroics, Palace are now six points clear of the relegation zone heading into this matchup.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last met in December 2017 when Crystal Palace won, 2-1
• Crystal Palace have won four of their last five games, with the loss coming against Liverpool.
• In the last eight games vs Crystal Palace, Watford have recorded just one win.
Luka Milivojevic leads Crystal Palace in the sims with the highest probability to score — at 32 percent approximately — but it’s Christian Benteke who leads them in overall shots attempted per sim.
Troy Deeney has the highest probability to net the ball for Watford. He averages over two shots per sim, 0.69 shots on goal per sim, and 0.35 goals per sim — with about a 30 percent chance of scoring.
The pick is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend, mainly because the sim data is suggesting more value than what most books are offering. The odds — at 2.89 — indicate there’s about a 34.6 percent chance Watford wins. They win over 41 percent of simulated matches, suggesting quite a bit of value. We’re always interested when AccuScore sim data is supporting the side that’s considered the underdog in the matchup.