Stoke City fell 2-0 to Manchester City Monday, and are without a win in their last six matches. Everton have been inconsistent all season, and have played poorly on the road. The only Everton player to have scored more than once on the road this season is Wayne Rooney. Will he find himself on the score-sheet again?
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
What to Watch For
Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 3.27 — indicate there’s about a 30.5 percent chance of a draw. Accuscore sims have a draw in about 29-to-30 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 1.33 – 1.14, in favor of Everton.
Recent Trends: Everton has been astonishingly poor away from home, having lost their last five road matches. They have not earned a clean sheet in any of their last five away fixtures. 60 percent of the goal production on the road this season has been in the first half of matches.
Head-to-Head: Everton recorded a 1-0 win at home over Stoke earlier in the season. They have 3 wins and 1 draw in their last four overall vs Stoke.
Stoke though have lost just one of their last eight home games against Everton. The total in each of the last three matches have stayed UNDER 2.5 goals.
As expected, Wayne Rooney leads the way for Everton in the simulations, averaging about 2 shots overall per sim and 0.45 goals per sim. He has about a 37 percent chance of netting the ball.
Shaqiri leads the way for Stoke in sims with 1.11 shots on goal per, and 0.34 goals per sim; he has a 28 percent chance of scoring.
The odds — at 3.08 — indicate Everton has an 32 percent chance of winning. AccuScore sim data has them winning close to 40 percent of sims, providing added value on the visiting side. Everton money line is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.