West Brom will be looking for all three points this weekend when they host Liverpool at The Hawthorns. Darren Moore and his side were able to get a nice 1-0 win last weekend vs Manchester United, and bettors will be looking to see if that was skill or luck.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
What to Watch For
Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 4.50 — indicate there’s about a 22 percent chance of a draw. Accuscore sims, however, have a draw in about 10-to-20 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 2.25 – 0.72, in favor of Liverpool.
Head-to-head: Liverpool have won 45 percent of their previous matches against West Brom, while losing just 26 percent of those matches. West Brom have avoided taking a loss vs Liverpool in the last two meetings. When these two sides last met — January, FA Cup — West Brom won, 3-2.
Liverpool Roster: We’ll have to keep an eye out on any potential roster changes or moves for this weekend’s match considering Jurgen Klopp will have his eyes on the Champions League match with Roma coming up. It’s still a couple weeks away, but priorities are priorities.
• Liverpool have won just two of their last seven league and cup matches vs West Brom.
• The last nine matchups between the two sides have been decided by a one-goal margin or fewer.
Mohamed Salah averages close to four shots overall in sims, with almost two on goal. He averages close to one goal per sim and has a 62 percent chance overall to net the ball vs West Brom.
Salomón Rondón leads West Brom in the sims, averaging close to two shots overall and 0.65 shots on goal per sim. He has about a 17 percent chance to score. Jay Rodriguez is second behind him with about a 16.5 percent chance of scoring.
The pick is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend, mainly because the sim data is suggesting more value than what most books are offering. The odds at 1.55 — indicate there’s about a 64.5 percent chance Liverpool wins. They win 72 percent of simulated matches, suggesting quite a bit of value even at 1.55.