Crystal Palace host Tottenham at Selhurst Park Sunday afternoon looking to stay above the relegation zone following this 3-1 loss to Everton. The Eagles haven’t recorded a victory in their last four outings.
Key Betting Trends
• Although Crystal Palace has struggled to get a win, the majority of their recent matches have been on the road. The Eagles have lost just 1 of their last 11 matches at Selhurst Park.
What to Watch For
Tottenham on the Road: Spurs average 1.62 points per away game this term, winning fewer than 50 percent of their road matches.
The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 2.4 – 1.07, in favor of Tottenham.
Crystal with Injuries: Tottenham head into this match with tons of momentum, with recent wins against Manchester United and Arsenal. Crystal is missing players like Zaha and Sako to injuries, and just won’t be able to create enough opportunities to win this match.
Harry Kane has about a 65-to-66 percent chance of scoring Sunday, averaging over 6 shots per sim, over 2 on goal, and 1-plus goal. Luka Milivojevic has the highest probability of scoring for the home side, averaging about 1 shot per sim, 0.4 shots on goal per sim, with a 22-to-23 percent chance of scoring.
Keep in mind 62 percent of Crystal Palace home games have seen both teams score.
Head-to-Head: The Spurs have won 5 of the last 6 meetings, the last 3 with a final score of 1-0. They’ve won on 3 of their last 4 visits to Selhurst.
Dafabet odds at 1.49 — indicate the Spurs have about a 67 percent chance of winning. Tottenham wins over 65 percent of sims, with some added side value on their side as well. There’s not a whole lot of hidden value in this pick, but it’s the one to go with considering the Spurs’ talented roster and the Eagles’ injured roster.