We’ve got a pair of teams looking to avoid relegation as West Ham and Stoke City face off at London Stadium. West Ham is looking much safer after some recent results that have them closer to the top 10 than the bottom, but they’re still just six points away from the relegation zone. A win this weekend though should get rid of any such worries.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 3.50 — indicate there’s about a 40 percent chance of a draw. Accuscore sims, however, have a draw in about 25 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 1.73 – 0.75, in favor of West Ham.
Much Needed Help: West Ham got Javier Hernandez back in the line in their last match, and they couldn’t be any happier. Hernandez came off the bench to score the equaliser in a 1-1 draw against Chelsea.
• In their last three Premier League matches, Stoke have been tied at half only to lose at full time.
• Stoke have lost their last four Premier League matches.
• Stoke have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 4 Premier League matches.
Shaqiri has the highest probability to score for Stoke CIty at a 20-to-21 percent chance. He averages about 2 shots overall per simulated match, 0.77 shots on goal per, and 0.23 goals per.
For West Ham, Marko Arnautovic has close to a 42 percent chance of scoring, averaging 1.35 shots on goal and 0.55 goals per sim.
West Ham -0.5.
The pick is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The odds — at 2.02 — indicate there’s about a 49.5 percent chance West Ham wins by a 1-goal margin. They win over 60 percent of simulated matches, suggesting quite a bit of value at 2.02.