The 2018 FIFA World Cup may take center stage later this week, but the MLS still has the spotlight this Wednesday when Orlando City FC and Montreal Impact match up at Saputo Stadium in Montreal.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 3.80 — indicate there’s a 26.3 percent chance of a draw. AccuScore sims have a draw in 25.9 percent of matches, suggesting no added value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 1.76 – 1.65, in favor of Montreal.
Similar Form: Both sides enter this week’s matchup having lost four of their last five in MLS action; both sides have one win in their last five.
Piatti Must Produce: Montreal’s recent struggles have largely been on the offensive end, and a lack of production from Ignacio Piatti has been a major factor in that. Piatti has been held without a goal or an assist in his last five MLS fixtures.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in August 2017 when Montreal won 2-1, also at home. Orlando last defeated Montreal on the road back in September 2016 in a 4-1 outcome.
Domonic Dwyer leads the way for Orlando City in AccuScore sims with over a 46 percent chance of netting the ball. He averages 3.37 shots overall per sim, 1.14 shots on goal per, and 0.64 goals per sim.
For Montreal, it’s Ignacio Piatti with close to a 54 percent chance of scoring. He averages 3.46 shots overall per sim, 1.17 shots on goal per, and 0.74 goals per sim.
Orlando to pull off the upset on the road.
The odds indicate Montreal should win this game easily, but AccuScore data is suggesting a ton of side value on Orlando to keep this game close. The side value — being a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend — is tough to shy away from. The odds indicate Orlando has just a 21.5 percent chance of scoring, but they win over 34 percent of simulated matches. Montreal, on the other hand, has odds that indicate they have a 51.2 percent chance of winning; they win less than 40 percent of sims.