MLS takes center stage on the ESPN+ app Monday when the Montreal Impact host the LA Galaxy as the hosts look to bounce back from losses against Chicago and Philadelphia. LA, on a similar note, will look for at least a draw following four straight losses.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
What to Watch For
Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 3.70 — indicate there’s a 27 percent chance of a draw. AccuScore sims, however, have a draw in 24.5 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 1.96 – 1.53, in favor of the Galaxy.
Recent Struggles: Following their 3-2 loss to FC Dallas last Saturday, the Galaxy continued their downward trend in the MLS Power Rankings. With five losses in the last six games, ESPN has them at 16th while MLSSoccer.com has them at 14th.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last met in April 2017 in LA when the Galaxy won 2-0 after leading 1-0 at halftime. They last met in Canada in May 2016 when Montreal won 3-2 after a 1-1 draw at halftime.
Ola Kamara leads the Galaxy in simulations with close to a 55 percent chance of netting the ball. He averages 3.68 shots overall per sim, 1.36 shots on goal, and 0.77 goals per sim.
Ignacio Piatti — for Montreal — also has approximately a 55 percent chance of scoring. Piatti averages 3.16 shots overall per sim, 1.09 shots on goal and 0.79 goals per sim.
This is a three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. The Galaxy winning in regulation is listed at 2.90, indicating about a 34.5 percent chance of happening. They win 46 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some value on the pick. AccuScore sim data is providing over 10 percent of added value on the pick.
Predictions provide by: Accuscore