DC United and New York City FC go head-to-head this weekend at Yankee Stadium in what could be a potential playoff matchup. DC United sits three points behind the playoff line.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 4.05 — indicate there’s a 24.7 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 28 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added or side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.48 – 1.24, in favor of NYC.
Betting on the Total: The UNDER — at 2.17 — indicates the UNDER hits in about 46 percent of AccuScore sims. The total combined score hits the UNDER in about 50 percent of AccuScore sims.
The average total combined score in AccuScore sims is 2.72 goals.
Short-handed: United coach Ben Olsen will need some folks to step up with the following absences courtesy of international duty. Paul Arriola (United States), Junior Moreno (Venezuela), Darren Mattocks (Jamaica), Bruno Miranda (Bolivia) and Zoltan Stieber (Hungary).
Dominating the Pitch: According to MLSsoccer.com, Wayne Rooney is tied for the fifth-most goals and assists for DC United with nine (four goals and five assists) in just 11 games played. No other player in the top five has played fewer than 22 games. Talk about efficient production.
Bouncing Back: NYCFC took 28 shots in Wednesday’s 1-0 loss to New England, tied for the second-most shots by an MLS team in a shutout loss since 2010.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last met in April 2017 when United won 2-1. They have each won two games apiece against each other since Sep 2016.
Head-to-Head in New York City: NYC has won the three games between these two sides in New York, racking up 10 goals in 3 wins; United as 3 goals in those games.
Wayne Rooney is projected to lead the way for United with close to a 34 percent chance of scoring. He averages close to two shots overall per sim, 0.65 shots on goal per and 0.41 goals per sim.
For NYC, we’ll have our eyes on Jesús Medina and Ismael Tajouri-Shradi. Medina has a 27 percent chance to score, averaging 2.34 shots overall per sim, 0.76 shots on goal per and 0.31 goals per sim. Tajouri-Shradi has a 26 percent chance to score, averaging 0.30 goals per sim.
DC United +0.5
AccuScore sim data is providing quite a bit of side value on United, a three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. Odds — at 1.98 — indicate there’s a 50.5 percent chance United either finishes in a draw or wins the match. That happens in 58-plus percent of AccuScore sims.