Malaga and Getafe meet this Saturday in La Liga action at Estadio La Rosaleda. Malaga has one win and five losses in their last six overall, while Getafe has four wins, 1 loss and 1 draw.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 3.49 — indicate there’s about a 28.7 percent chance of a draw. AccuScore sims, however, have a draw in about 35 percent of matches, suggesting some added value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 0.90 – 0.79, in favor of Getafe. The draw is a three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.
Betting on the Draw: These two sides have not finished in a draw result since February 2011. Getafe have finished in a draw, though, on six road matches this season.
Head-to-Head: Getafe earned a 1-0 victory when these two sides met in the Spanish capital earlier this season.
Ángel Luis Rodríguez Díaz is projected to lead Getafe based on AccuScore sims. He averages close to two shots overall, 0.74 shots on goal per sim, and 0.38 goals per sim; he has close to a 32 percent chance of netting the ball this Saturday.
For Malaga, Youssef En-Nesyri averages two shots overall per sim, 0.55 shots on goal per sim, and 0.19 goals per sim; he has a 17-to-18 percent chance of scoring.
The pick is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The odds — at 1.94 — indicate there’s a 51.5 percent chance the total combined score stays below 2.5. UNDER 2.5 hits in over 77 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting quite a bit of added value on the pick.