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EPL – West Ham vs Manchester United

Posted by Website Admin on September 28, 2018

Andriy Yarmolenko West Ham Premier League

Manchester United — sitting at the No. 7 spot with 10 points in 6 games played — gets set to match up with West Ham United this weekend at London Stadium. Both sides enter this match following a draw; West Ham finished in a 0-0 tie vs Chelsea last week while United got a 1-1 draw vs Wolves.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• West Ham: 4.69
• Draw: 3.95
• Manchester United: 1.77
Spread
• West Ham +0.5, +1: 1.88
• Manchester United -0.5, -1: 2.05
Total
• OVER 2.5: 1.84
• UNDER 2.5: 2.06

What to Watch For

Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 4.11 — indicate there’s a 24 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 25 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added value on the draw, but not much.

The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.8 – 1.75, in favor of Everton.

Red Devils: Watch for Jose Mourinho’s side to come out of the gates with a certain sense of urgency. Mourinho said he “didn’t like his team” in the 1-1 draw vs Wolverhampton last week, specifically referring to the team’s tendency to relax at certain points of the game.

Focus on Defense: Pablo Zabaleto of West Ham was phenomenal against Chelsea the week prior. He — along with Issa Diop and Declan Rice — helped to earn a draw against a Chelsea team that had 72 percent of possession.

Last 6: West Ham has 1 draw, two wins and three losses in their last six overall. United has 1 draw, three wins and two losses in their last six overall.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last faced off in Premier League action back in May of 2018. The result was a goalless draw. United won the last three matchups overall, two of which were EPL matches.

Projected Leaders

Romelo Lukaku has about a 45 percent chance to score, according to AccuScore sim data. He averages 3.3 shots overall per sim, 1.68 shots on goal per and 0.60 goals per sim.

For West Ham, we’ll have our eyes on Andriy Yarmolenko who has a 19-to-20 percent chance to score. He averages 1.39 shots overall per sim, 0.55 shots on goal per, and 0.22 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Man U -1

Odds — at 2.05 — indicate there’s a 49 percent chance United wins this match by at least a 1-goal margin. United wins over 70 percent of AccuScore sims; the average margin of victory for United in AccuScore sims is +1.40 goals. United winning is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.