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EPL – Swansea City vs Southampton

Posted by Website Admin on May 9, 2018

The battle for the final relegation spot — more than likely — comes down to this week’s match when Swansea City host Southampton. The visitors sit ahead of the hosts in the standings just on goal difference.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.

Dafabet Odds

1×2
• Swansea: 3.13
• Draw: 3.20
• Southampton: 2.51
Total
• OVER 2.5: 2.06
• UNDER 2.5: 1.84

What to Watch For

Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 3.20 — indicate there’s about a 31 percent chance of a draw. Accuscore sims, however, have a draw in about 34 percent of matches, suggesting some added value on the draw.

The average score in sims is 0.99 – 0.82, in favor of Swansea City.

Swansea’s Struggles: No team has scored fewer Premier League goals this campaign than Swansea City. They have netted the ball just 27 times in 36 total matches.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last met in August, finishing in a 0-0 draw . The scoreless draw is currently listed at 11/5 (3.20) odds in most books.

Projected Leaders

Charlie Austin leads the way for Southampton in the simulations, averaging close to two shots overall, 0.85 shots on goal, and 0.35 goals per sim; he has about a 29 percent chance to net the ball.

For Swansea, it’s Jordan Ayew leading the way; he averages 1-to-2 shots overall per sim, 0.57 shots on goal per sim, and 0.26 goals per sim. He has about a 19.5 percent chance to score.

Analyst’s Pick

Swansea wins.

The pick is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The odds — at 3.13 — indicate there’s about a 32 percent chance Swansea wins outright in regulation time. They win over 37 percent of simulated matches, suggesting some added value on the pick.