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EPL – Liverpool vs Chelsea

Posted by Website Admin on September 28, 2018

Mohamed Salah Premier League Liverpool

We’ve got a big-time clash this weekend in the Premier League as Chelsea and Liverpool take center stage at Stamford Bridge. Both sides have played six league games so far, with Liverpool at the No. 1 spot with 18 points, and Chelsea in the No.3 spot with 16.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea: 3.04
• Draw: 3.62
• Liverpool: 2.35

Spread
• Chelsea +0.5: 1.60
• Liverpool -0.5: 2.42

Total
• OVER 3: 2.19
• UNDER 3: 1.74

What to Watch For

Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 3.62 — indicate there’s a 27.6 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in exactly that percentage of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the draw.

The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.67 – 1.06, in favor of Liverpool.

Dominating the Competition: Liverpool has shown no signs of slowing down this season as they head into this match following a 3-0 win over Southampton the week before. It marked their sixth-straight Premiere League win that was all said and done by halftime, maintaining their flawless start.

Familiar Faces: These two sides will face off twice in a span of four days. The first of those being the third round of the Carabao Cup, and then Premier League action on Saturday.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back in May 2018 when Chelsea won, 1-0.

Projected Leaders

AccuScore sims suggest Mo Salah has the best probability to score for Liverpool at a 45 percent chance. He averages 3.21 shots overall per sim, 1.23 shots on goal per, and 0.60 goals per sim.

For Chelsea, we’ll have our eyes on Eden Hazard who has a 35 percent chance to score. He averages 2.31 shots overall per sim, 1.24 shots on goal per, and 0.43 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Liverpool to win.

Odds — at 2.35 — indicate there’s a 42.5 percent chance Liverpool wins this matchup. They win close to 50 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the pick. This is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.