Cardiff City welcome Middlesbrough this Saturday hoping to pick up three points as they trend up in the standings.
Key Betting Trends
• Cardiff City have not lost in four Championship matches.
• Middlesbrough have struggled on the road recently, having lost three of their last four away games.
• Middlesbrough have won four of their last six matches vs Cardiff.
What to Watch For
Above Expectations: Cardiff City have been phenomenal this season as they find themselves on the verge of promotion. Cardiff’s success this season has been directly related to a solid backline that will be looking to keep players like Britt Assombalonga and Patrick Bamford in check this weekend.
Assombalonga is projected to have 1-to-2 shots overall, averaging 0.52 shots on goal in sims; he has about a 22 percent chance of finding the back of the net.
Cardiff City holds the Boro to just 0.55 goals per simulated match.
Recent Stats: Numbers never lie, so let’s take a look at how these sides have done at home and on the road recently. Cardiff City has scored approximately 1.17 goals per match in their last six home contests; they have also conceded the same 1.17 goals per match in the last six at home.
The average score in sims for this match is 1.03 – 0.55, in favor of the home side.
Head-to-Head: The last three head-to-head matches between these two sides produced the following results: 1-0 Cardiff in 2015; 3-1 Middlesbrough in 2016; 1-0 Cardiff most recently in October of 2010.
The UNDER hit in two of the last three matches between the two sides.
Not only is this a three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend, but the odds indicate the UNDER has about a 46 percent chance of happening; the UNDER hits in about 52 percent of AccuScore sims, providing some value on that UNDER at 2.16.
Given the fact the Bluebirds are within 1 point of second-place Aston Villa, we’re expecting a defensive match this weekend. The Boro, too, will treat this match as a must-win, looking to place in the Championship playoffs.
Also keep in mind that Boro’s last four league matches have been low-scoring affairs UNDER 2.5 in three of the last four.