Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Wolverhampton: 1.72
• Draw: 3.65
• Burnley: 5.67
• Wolverhampton -1: 2.47
• Burnley +1: 1.61
• OVER 2.5: 2.06
• UNDER 2.5: 1.84
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 3.65 — indicate there’s a 27 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in under 18 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 2.29 – 0.58, in favor of Wolverhampton.
Last 6: Wolverhampton — in their last six matches in all competitions — have 1 loss, 3 draws, and 2 wins. Burnley has 4 losses, 1 draw, and 1 win.
Some Injuries: Both Nick Pope and Steven Defour are expected to be out for Burnley in this match as they heal from injuries. Pope is dealing with a shoulder injury while Defour is coming back from a calf strain.
Head-to-Head: These two sides most recently met in the Championship back in March 2016 when they finished in a 1-1 tie. Their last Premier League matchup was back in March 2010 when Wolverhampton won 2-1.
• Wolverhampton: Patricio; Boly, Coady, Bennett; Doherty, Moutinho, Neves, Jonny; Jota, Jimenez, Costa
• Burnley: Hart; Bardsley, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor; Lennon, Westwood, Cork, McNeil; Hendrick; Wood
• Wolverhampton have lost just one of their first five games this season in all competitions.
• Burnley have picked up only one point from a possible twelve this season.
Daniel Agyei and James Takowski each have about a 12 percent chance to score, with Agyei’s production in AccuScore sims being a tad bit more productive. Agyei averages 0.72 shots overall per sim, 0.31 shots on goal per, and 0.13 goals per sim. Takowski averages 0.53 shots overall per sim, 0.18 shots on goal per, and 0.13 goals per sim.
Diogo Jota leads the way for Wolverhampton in AccuScore sims, with close to a 50 percent chance to score. He averages 3.65 shots overall per sim, 1.5 shots on goal per, and 0.68 goals per sim.
Wolverhampton to win.
Odds — at 1.72 — indicate there’s a 56 percent chance United wins this match. They win about 75 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some slight added value on the pick. This is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.