Sitting in the No. 14 spot with 30 points, West Ham United will look to distance themselves from potential relegation as they match up with Burnley at the Olympic Stadium this weekend. Burnley sits at the No. 7 spot on 40 points, hoping for a top-half finish this season.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
What to Watch For
Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 3.16 — indicate about a 31-to-32 percent chance of happening. Accuscore sims have a draw in about 41 percent of matches, suggesting some value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 0.68 – 0.56, in favor of West Ham.
Recent Trends: West Ham actually come into this weekend’s matchup following back-to-back 4-1 defeats to Swansea and Liverpool, respectively. Michail Antonio did score in both games, though, but isn’t projected to make much of an impact in this matchup.
Head-to-Head: The two sides drew 1-1 at Turf Moor back in October 2017. Michail Antonio scored first for West Ham before Chris Wood score a late goal to tied things at 1 apiece.
Ashley Barnes is projected to lead the way for Burnley with about a 13 percent chance of scoring; Barnes averages 0.41 shots on goal per sim and 0.14 goals per sim.
Javier Hernandez Balcazar has about a 23 percent chance of scoring for West Ham, averaging 0.75 shots on goal and 0.25 goals per sim.
The odds — at 2.06 — indicate there’s about a 48.5 percent chance of the total combined score staying UNDER 2. The total stays below that total in 65 percent of simulations, a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The sims would have listed the UNDER at approximately 1.55, providing a ton of value at 2.06.