Augsburg gets set to host Bayern Munich this Saturday at WWK Arena. Bayern is 14-2 against Augsburg in Bundesliga action — does the home side have much of a chance this time around?
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 4.42 — indicate there’s about a 22 percent chance of a draw. Accuscore sims, however, have a draw in 17 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 2.44 – 0.76, in favor of Bayern.
Head-to-Head: Bayern Munich have netted three-plus goals in each of last five matchups with Augsburg.
Home Stats: Augsburg have scored 20 and conceded 18 goals in 14 home matches this term.
Bayern at WWK: Bayern has conceded goals in the last two visits to WWK Arena.
Lewandowski dominates the sims for Bayern, averaging close to five shots overall, over two shots on goal, and 1-plus goal per sim; he has about a 64 percent chance of netting the ball. Thomas Muller is second behind him in the sims with about a 36-to-37 percent chance of scoring.
For Augsburg, Michael Gregoritsch has about a 23 percent chance of scoring; he averages 2-to-3 shots overall per sim, 0.88 goals per sim and 0.26 shots on goal per sim.
The odds — at 1.56 — indicate Bayern has about a 64 percent chance of winning. AccuScore sim data not only confirms that heavy winning probability, but adds another 10 percent in side value on the visiting side. Bayern win about 74 percent of simulated matches. The added side value is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.