Arsenal have not been much to talk about recently, but they’ll look to build on their Europa League victory as they get set to match up with Watford Sunday. Arsenal’s 2-0 road victory against AC Milan ended a streak of four straight defeats in all competitions.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
What to Watch For
Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 4.72 — indicate about a 21 percent chance of happening. Accuscore sims have a draw in about 18 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 1.98 – 0.94, in favor of Arsenal.
Recent Trends: Looking for a first half wager? Taking Arsenal and the -1 first half lead at 4.5 isn’t a bad option considering their wins over Crystal Palace and Everton where they jumped out of the gates quickly.
Head-to-Head: Watford have won their last two matches vs Arsenal.
Troy Deeney is projected to lead the way for Watford, averaging 0.24 goals per sim; he has about a 21 percent chance of netting the ball.
Aubameyang averages close to two shots on goal and 0.85 goals per sim for Arsenal, with over a 57 percent chance of scoring.
Arsenal have won all nine of their home league matches this season against teams outside of the top six — scoring a combined 28 goals in these matches.
The odds, at 1.53, indicate about a 65 percent chance of winning; they win over 71 percent of simulated matches, suggesting a money line pick on the Gunners.