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Arsenal vs Watford

Posted by Website Admin on March 12, 2018

Arsenal have not been much to talk about recently, but they’ll look to build on their Europa League victory as they get set to match up with Watford Sunday. Arsenal’s 2-0 road victory against AC Milan ended a streak of four straight defeats in all competitions.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.

Dafabet Odds

Spread
• Arsenal to win: 1.53
• Draw: 4.72
• Watford to win: 6.10

Total
• OVER 3: 1.90
• UNDER 3: 2.00

What to Watch For

Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 4.72 — indicate about a 21 percent chance of happening. Accuscore sims have a draw in about 18 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.

The average score in sims is 1.98 – 0.94, in favor of Arsenal.

Recent Trends: Looking for a first half wager? Taking Arsenal and the -1 first half lead at 4.5 isn’t a bad option considering their wins over Crystal Palace and Everton where they jumped out of the gates quickly.

Head-to-Head: Watford have won their last two matches vs Arsenal.

Projected Leaders

Troy Deeney is projected to lead the way for Watford, averaging 0.24 goals per sim; he has about a 21 percent chance of netting the ball.

Aubameyang averages close to two shots on goal and 0.85 goals per sim for Arsenal, with over a 57 percent chance of scoring.

Analyst’s Pick

Arsenal.

Arsenal have won all nine of their home league matches this season against teams outside of the top six — scoring a combined 28 goals in these matches.

The odds, at 1.53, indicate about a 65 percent chance of winning; they win over 71 percent of simulated matches, suggesting a money line pick on the Gunners.